1. BN is getting very desperate. Even with the
all-out help of the various institutions, they still won less seats in GE13.
2. Going forward, things are not looking good
either. There is no visible upside for BN and no light at the end of the tunnel. It’s all downhill from here.
3. The introduction of the GST will put BN in a
negative, downward spiral for at least 3 years – from 2014, when the bill was
passed; to 2015, when GST comes into force; and then to 2016 at least, when the
people – especially the lower income groups, chiefly the Malays – begin to suffer
and their anger towards BN rises.
4. The next GE is not due until 2018. Therefore, BN
will be facing a very real prospect of losing power, unless the public
(especially the Malays) have gotten used to GST (and all the other ensuing
price hikes) by 2017. Otherwise, BN is finished. But that's not going to happen -- unless the real income and purchasing power of the average Joe magically rises within the next 3 years.
5. “It’s all about the economy, stupid.” Every
politician in the world knows that – except PAS, apparently.
6. If Pakatan Rakyat could just sit tight, relax,
and watch, BN will self-destruct comes 2017. But no, PAS is too horny to do
that.
7. PAS is like a teenage virgin. This teenager is
so obsessed with the girl next door (let’s call her “Helen”) that every time
you mention her name, PAS will immediately stop whatever he is doing, turn serious,
his face blushing, and then declare loudly that he is willing to die for Helen.
It’s like what they teach you in school about respecting the national anthem –
stand up and stand still, whenever you hear it.
8. Doesn’t matter whether PAS is eating, doing
business in the toilet, or even playing football and are about to score - If you say, “Look, Helen’s coming!”, PAS will
immediately freeze, punch his right arm into the sky, and shout, “Helen is
great! I love Helen! I will give everything for Helen, including my life!” IT
WORKS EVERY F**KING TIME.
9. That is why BN, getting extremely desperate,
resort to the only weapon they could think of to break up Pakatan: Hudud. It’s the ONLY issue in the world on which PAS will
say DEFINITELY YES, and DAP will say DEFINITELY NO. Last
time they tried it, even DAP giants like Lim Kit Siang and Karpal Singh lost
their seats in Parliament.
10. That was back when Mahathir was desperate and
extremely scared of Anwar Ibrahim. Now, Najib is even more desperate. So, if
the good Doctor says that this is the only weapon left, and it works EVERY
F**KING TIME, wouldn’t you try? (After all, UMNO can only prosecute and imprison so many
opposition leaders.)
11. One main reason why PAS has been baited this
time, I suspect, is because it is the dying dream of some elderly leaders of
PAS to see Hudud becomes a reality in Malaysia – or at least in the only state in which PAS is in power, or makes some headway. The
Menteri Besar of Kelantan might have wished to present this as a “Lifetime
Achievement Award” to Nik Aziz, his octogenarian predecessor. Or maybe, that was
one of the promises the new guy made to the old guy, before taking over. I wouldn't know.
12. But I would call this “masturbating in public”.
It is “syok-sendiri” (self-gratifying, because no other party in Pakatan Rakyat
wants to get into this debate again), ugly to watch (we are talking about
chopping off hands and stoning to death here), and is sure to destroy your public
image forever (as in, NO right minded non-Muslim would ever trust PAS again, EVER).
13. Dear PAS, please raise your head, look a little ahead,
and ask yourselves: Comes GE14, how are your non-Muslim and more liberal Muslim
partners in PKR and DAP going to be able persuade their constituencies to vote
for PAS again (or for themselves for that matter, if you are still part of the
coalition)? Given that in the Orange Manifesto, you had PROMISED not to raise
Hudud if you were elected?
14.
The only thing worse about feeling disappointed
towards your elected representatives, is to feel CHEATED. Once beaten, twice
shy. NEVER AGAIN. You are not even in the government, for crying out loud!
Imagine how seriously you would betray your promises to the people IF you were
voted into power!
15. So the question now is, what are PKR and DAP
going to do about PAS? Seriously, if they would fall for this bait EVERY SINGLE
TIME, then it just proves that they are simply TOO DUMB to be your partners. Seriously.
How dumb could they be??
16. Can PR survive a breakup with PAS? The answer is
YES, and it's a GOOD NEWS too. And here is why.
17. UMNO are now playing with fire by opening the
door to PAS (forming a committee) to talk about Hudud. But if they really go ahead and allow Kelantan
(or even the whole country) to implement Hudud, the effect would be to remove a
major platform of PAS. PAS would have 1 less issue -- their main platform, actually! -- to champion for, and UMNO
would replace PAS as the new champions of Islam.
18. (By the way, this is yet another proof of how f**king
dumb are PAS. They have concentrated their political propaganda on Hudud far
too much and for too long. Now, if UMNO manages to remove Hudud from under
their feet, they will simply drown and bow out of the political scene. In politics, it takes
at least a decade to build up your credential and reputation in a particular
area or issue, such as DAP’s reputation in anti-corruption. So, what is the raison
d'État of PAS, post-Hudud? NOTHING. Thanks to PAS’ single-minded and longstanding
obsession with Helen.)
19.
But at the same time, UMNO are also too dumb to
realize that this is actually GOOD NEWS for the opposition. By also jumping on
the Hudud bandwagon to out-Islamicize PAS, UMNO would move further to the right
or the conservative side of the political spectrum, eating up PAS’ share of the
rural votes in the process – WHILE not only gaining nothing, but also losing a
big part, of the Middle Malaysia. It does not take a genius to be sure that the
non-Muslim component parties of BN would not go along with UMNO on Hudud. This
would allow PKR to finally become the new champions of “Moderate Islam”, and
DAP could then sail along freely on the wave of Malaysian history into
power (a wave as a result of the tide created by the suicide pact of UMNO-PAS).
20.
By not realizing that Hudud could backfire
against them, UMNO and PAS would most likely die together. This is because Hudud
would only enable UMNO to gain at the expense of PAS, not PKR or DAP – the threat to BN's real electoral base.
21. Let’s face it, most Malays in Malaysia (including
in Kelantan) are not ready for Hudud. They might be too scared to say it in
public, but that is what they think deep inside their heart. They did not vote for
PAS because they wanted Hudud, but because they did not want UMNO. (Hudud is an
even bigger No-No for UMNO Malays, needless to say.) It has always been a tacit understanding among UMNO politicians and Malay elites that using Hudud as a weapon would be below-the-belt.
22. Now, if PKR is able to articulate a coherent set
of political principles to build a “Moderate Islam-Populist” political
platform, using “Not yet ready for Hudud” as a tactic to sidestep this public
masturbation contest between UMNO and PAS, and focuses the public’s attention
on income inequality and corruption, they would be in a position to make
history – both for themselves and the country.
23. In other words, by playing up Hudud, UMNO and
PAS would box each other into a corner which would be too difficult for them to
extricate themselves from, misjudge the real electoral trend in Malaysia (the material
needs of the growing, young and low-income Malays), and lose in the key battlefields. If UMNO think that the reason why they become weaker and weaker is because they fail to out-Islamicize PAS, then they should think again. (Or maybe, it's better if they don't think at all...)
24. The challenge now is for PKR to get their act
together. Or maybe, just maybe, it is finally the historic moment for DAP to capture
the Middle Malaysia, without waiting for their struggling partners in Pakatan
to do it.
25. (Another reason why PAS is dumb to support Hudud
at this stage – who controls the prosecution and the judiciary at the moment? IF
Hudud is implemented, who would gain more power to intimidate their opponents -- PAS, or UMNO?? After Hudud has been implemented, would UMNO’s hands likely to be chopped off or heads be
stoned to death?? Get real, man. This is a pointless theoretical exercise for self-glory (“Dear
Helen, look how I’ve fought for you!”) which does not achieve any real benefit
for the society at all, but will only make those in power even more powerful. Come on, WAKE UP!)
26.
So, who’s up for seizing the historical opportunity
amidst the mess created by UMNO and PAS?
